Tennis Best Bets Tomorrow: China Open Beijing Round of 16 (Oct 3)

Editor's note: This is an informational article. Official Saint Picks predictions are published separately in the Picks section.

The China Open in Beijing moves into the Round of 16 on Saturday, October 3, 2026, at the National Tennis Center. Headlining the day: world No. 2 Alexander Zverev faces home hope Juncheng Shang (7:00 p.m. local / 7:00 a.m. EDT), and Daniil Medvedev takes on Jan-Lennard Struff (5:00 p.m. local / 5:00 a.m. EDT). Andrey Rublev and Alex de Minaur are also in action.

Tennis Best Bets Market Analysis (Oct 3)

Alexander Zverev is the clear favourite both for his match and the tournament. Against Shang he is priced around -1429 (implied ~93%), and he is the outright favourite at +162 with defending champion Jannik Sinner absent. Zverev is 57-14 in 2026 with titles at the French Open and the US Open. Shang, ranked No. 250, is 6-9 on the year but earned this spot by beating Sebastian Baez 5-7, 6-3, 7-5.

Medvedev leads Struff 8-3 head-to-head (2-0 on hard courts) and beat Pablo Carreno Busta 6-4, 6-2 in the first round. But Struff won their most recent meeting — a five-setter at Wimbledon in July 2026 — so the upset risk is real. Outright prices behind Zverev: Novak Djokovic +450, Alex de Minaur +650, Daniil Medvedev +750.

Key stats to watch: Zverev averages 10.1 aces per match in 2026; Medvedev is 28-8 on hard courts this year; Struff is 7-11 on hard in 2026.

Best Bets to Watch (Informational)

These are informational betting angles for educational purposes only. They are NOT official Saint Picks picks — official predictions are published separately in the Picks section.

1. Zverev to win in straight sets — Zverev's level this season (two Grand Slam titles) against a No. 250 opponent makes the 2-0 the natural research angle rather than the unplayable moneyline. Research angle: check the set-betting price before the match.

2. Medvedev to win — The 8-3 head-to-head and 2-0 hard-court record back the Russian, who looked sharp against Carreno Busta. But Struff's Wimbledon win means this is a study spot, not a certainty — compare the moneyline across books.

3. Outright: Zverev +162 — With Sinner out and Djokovic in the other half of the draw, the top seed is the logical outright favourite. Research angle: track how the outright price moves after Saturday's results.

Track the Matches

If you follow these matches, log your stake, record the closing odds and track your ROI with the Saint Picks Bankroll Tracker. Always play responsibly — this article is for information only, not betting advice. 18+.