Wales 0-1 Denmark Recap: Hojlund Penalty Sinks Wales in Cardiff (Oct 4)

Editor's note: This is an informational article. Official Saint Picks predictions are published separately in the Picks section.

Wales 0-1 Denmark was decided by a goalkeeper's nightmare: Danny Ward's 73rd-minute error handed Denmark a penalty, and Rasmus Hojlund converted in the 75th to complete a Nations League double over the Welsh.

What happened

A scrappy first half saw Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg forced off injured, disrupting Denmark's midfield. Hojlund should have scored in the 50th minute from point-blank range, but Ward produced an excellent reaction save with his leg. Then came the decisive moment: Ward received a back-pass inside his own area, failed to deal with it cleanly, and brought down Gustav Isaksen as he tried to recover. Penalty. Hojlund sent Ward the wrong way.

Ward escaped a red card despite the debate — the referee kept it at a penalty only. Denmark held on.

The betting recap

Under 2.5 goals ~2.10 cashed comfortably — the steam was right. But Wales +0.5 Asian handicap ~1.89 missed and the draw ~3.70 never threatened: Denmark have now won five straight meetings with Wales.

Group A4 standings

Portugal lead on 12 points, Denmark climb to second on 6. Wales and Norway are locked on 3 points each, with Wales ahead on the head-to-head tiebreaker after their 2-1 win over Norway on October 1.

A cruel way to lose for Craig Bellamy's side — one mistake, one penalty, and the relegation battle tightens.